# Hedges and Bets: The Future of Prediction Markets — retained record

> Retained news record from news:semafor.

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source: [news](https://highsignal.app/data/news) (news:semafor)  published 2026-09-01 14:45 ingested 2026-09-02 02:57

[original source ↗](https://www.semafor.com/article/09/01/2026/hedges-and-bets-the-future-of-prediction-markets)

## retained text



```
Watch Live at 5:30 p.m. ET on September 15
The High-Stakes Future of Prediction Markets
Prediction markets have moved from a novelty to a mainstream consumer product. Average daily volume across US prediction markets reached nearly $2 billion in July, settling everything from Fed decisions to World Cup outcomes to Congressional votes.
But the path ahead is uncertain. Supporters argue prediction markets are a genuine forecasting technology and a legitimate hedging instrument. Critics say they are gambling in a financial-services wrapper: profitable for those who manipulate them, habit-forming for the young users they attract.
Join us as Semafor editors unpack what’s next for this rapidly evolving industry.
Highlights
Check back after the event…
AD
```



document fetched 2026-09-02 06:32 · canonical https://semafor.com/article/09/01/2026/hedges-and-bets-the-future-of-prediction-markets