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public hit-rate ledger

# track record

**Small resolved sample:** the cohort marked as live has only 3 hit-or-miss scoring records. Pending records and pushes do not increase the hit-rate denominator. This sample does not establish predictive reliability.

Recorded scoring outcomes against subsequent market moves. These are scoring records, not a count of independently verified predictions. Forward-labelled and replay cohorts are separated by the stored signal convention; historical provenance remains under review.
Hit-rate is hits divided by hits plus misses. Pending records and pushes are excluded; a push means the market move was too small or inconclusive.

Read with care

Live label

These records are marked as live; their original publication timing is not verified.

Use for tuning

Backfill

Historical replay. Useful, but not proof of product quality.

Do not overread

Combined

Mixed view for debugging only; it should not be marketed yet.

## Records marked as live

publication timing unverified

67%

hit-rate

2

hit

1

miss

0

push

Based on 3 hit-or-miss records out of 2088 total records. 2085 pending; 0 pushes excluded from the rate.

Historical outcomes are retained. This rate is not calibrated confidence or proof of future accuracy.

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type | records | hit | miss | push | pending | hit-rate |

guidance_change | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 100% |

export_restriction | 65 | 0 | 1 |

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Canonical HTML: https://highsignal.app/track-record