Multiple prediction markets on Manifold (sources: Manifold 1, Manifold 2, Manifold 3, Manifold 4) show extremely high...

Multiple prediction markets on Manifold (sources: Manifold 1, Manifold 2, Manifold 3, Manifold 4) show extremely high consensus (96-99%) that Anthropic will exceed OpenAI's valuation in coming funding rounds, surpass it by 2026, and flip it before 2027. These shifts suggest a growing investor belief in Anthropic's competitive position relative to OpenAI, likely driven by model improvements, strategic partnerships, or funding momentum. While prediction markets are speculative and based on a single platform, the consistency across multiple questions strengthens the signal. Direction is up for Anthropic as it implies increased relative valuation and market confidence. Confidence is low due to reliance on prediction market data alone without corroboration from official disclosures or analyst reports.