Multiple prediction markets on Polymarket and Manifold as of May 30, 2026 show extremely bullish sentiment for NVIDIA...

Multiple prediction markets on Polymarket and Manifold as of May 30, 2026 show extremely bullish sentiment for NVIDIA (NVDA). The key Polymarket event 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?' shows 99.9% Yes probability. On Manifold, markets indicate 74% chance of exceeding $10T market cap before 2030, 96.96% chance of new all-time-high in 2026, and 90.73% chance of maintaining >=75% datacenter GPU market share through end of 2025. Revenue expectations are also high with 59.1% chance of FY2028 revenue exceeding $400B. Negative scenarios such as a 50%+ drop (11.81%) or stock below $100 (7.67%) are assigned very low probabilities. While these are prediction markets rather than official company guidance, the consistent high probabilities across multiple independent markets signal strong market confidence in NVIDIA's continued dominance in AI infrastructure. The Polymarket event in particular, with 99.9% confidence, suggests the market expects NVIDIA to surpass Apple or Microsoft as the world's largest company imminently. Sources: Polymarket, Manifold market 1, Manifold market 2, Manifold market 3, Manifold market 4, Manifold market 5, Manifold market 6