signal type · other
compute budget controversy
Every published compute budget controversy signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh compute budget controversy calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
2
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a compute budget controversy signal?
A compute budget controversy signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged compute_budget_controversy by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published compute budget controversy signal
2026-06-04 · DEEPSEEK · down · low
A Manifold Markets prediction market as of June 4, 2026, asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used...
2026-05-27 · DEEPSEEK · neutral · low
A prediction market on Manifold asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used to train its v3 model.