signal type · other
misrepresentation allegation
Every published misrepresentation allegation signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh misrepresentation allegation calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
2
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a misrepresentation allegation signal?
A misrepresentation allegation signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged misrepresentation_allegation by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published misrepresentation allegation signal
2026-05-29 · DEEPSEEK · neutral · low
A prediction market on Manifold Markets is asking whether DeepSeek misrepresented the GPU compute budget used to train...
2026-05-26 · DEEPSEEK · down · low
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.