As of June 11, 2026, prediction market Manifold Markets shows a 96.54% consensus that Tesla will announce a formal...

As of June 11, 2026, prediction market Manifold Markets shows a 96.54% consensus that Tesla will announce a formal partnership with Intel for AI chip fabrication by June 30, 2026 (Source). This high probability suggests market participants expect an imminent deal, which would be a major win for Intel's foundry strategy and signal growing trust in Intel's manufacturing capabilities. Additionally, a separate market (27%) indicates some belief that Intel may also manufacture NVIDIA chips by end of 2026 (Source), and a joint venture foundry between TSMC and Intel has 48.73% consensus (Source). While prediction markets are not official confirmations, the near-certainty on the Tesla partnership makes this an actionable signal for Intel's near-term outlook. If realized, it would drive significant investor sentiment and validate Intel's foundry turnaround efforts.