A prediction market on Manifold estimates a 24.69% probability that the New York Times copyright case against OpenAI...

A prediction market on Manifold estimates a 24.69% probability that the New York Times copyright case against OpenAI and Microsoft will be heard by the U.S. Supreme Court (source: Manifold). While low, this probability reflects ongoing legal risk for Microsoft's AI infrastructure investments. If the Supreme Court takes the case, it could lead to stricter copyright rules for training data, increasing costs for AI model development and deployment. This would negatively impact Microsoft's Azure AI and OpenAI partnership by raising compliance burdens and potential licensing fees. The court decision could also set precedent affecting other hyperscalers like Amazon and Google. No additional sources corroborate this specific probability movement, so confidence is low. The timeline for a Supreme Court decision, if certiorari is granted, could extend 60+ days.