Microsoft Corporation
spillover graph 21
relationship list
- ←CEGcustomer1.00
- ←AMZNcompetitor1.00
- →GOOGLcompetitor0.90
- ←NVDAcustomer0.90
- ←ANETcustomer0.90
- ←CRDOcustomer0.80
- ←VRTsupplier0.80
- →CRWVcustomer0.70
- ←FNcustomer0.70
- ←ETNsupplier0.70
- ←CRWVcustomer0.70
- ←NBIScustomer0.70
- ←AMDcustomer0.60
- ←MRVLcustomer0.60
- ←COHRcustomer0.60
- ←LITEcustomer0.60
- ←GEVsupplier0.60
- →TSMcustomer0.50
- ←VSTcustomer0.50
- ←PWRsupplier0.50
- ←ORCLpeer0.50
market consensus 10prediction-market quotes (latest)
- 36%Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?manifold$2.6K
- 27%Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?manifold$1.7K
- 20%Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?manifold$261
- 5%In 2024, will OpenAI/Microsoft confirm plans to build a supercomputer like the rumored $100 billion "Stargate"?manifold$13.9Kresolved NO
- 36%Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?manifold$2.6K
- 27%Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?manifold$1.7K
- 20%Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?manifold$261
- 5%In 2024, will OpenAI/Microsoft confirm plans to build a supercomputer like the rumored $100 billion "Stargate"?manifold$13.9Kresolved NO
- 36%Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?manifold$2.6K
- 27%Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?manifold$1.7K
recent signals
On July 14, 2026, Ars Technica reported that researchers at ESET discovered a method to bypass UEFI Secure Boot using...
On July 14, 2026, Ars Technica reported that researchers at ESET discovered a method to bypass UEFI Secure Boot using old, unrevoked shim binaries signed by Microsoft.
On July 14, 2026, Bloomberg reported that Pure DC is building an AI data center in Finland and has secured a deal with...
On July 14, 2026, Bloomberg reported that Pure DC is building an AI data center in Finland and has secured a deal with Microsoft (source).
Microsoft's 2026 Environmental Sustainability Report, released July 9, 2026, shows a 25% increase in emissions for...
Microsoft's 2026 Environmental Sustainability Report, released July 9, 2026, shows a 25% increase in emissions for fiscal 2025, driven primarily by rapid data center expansion for cloud and AI.
Microsoft has released Flint, a visualization language for AI agents, as announced on Hacker News on July 8, 2026.
Microsoft has released Flint, a visualization language for AI agents, as announced on Hacker News on July 8, 2026.
Microsoft's 2026 sustainability report reveals a 25% increase in carbon emissions in 2025, totaling 34 million metric...
Microsoft's 2026 sustainability report reveals a 25% increase in carbon emissions in 2025, totaling 34 million metric tons 'without select interventions.' The rise is 'driven primarily by the expansion of our datacenter infrastructure,' according to the report.
Microsoft is deepening its AI ties with the UAE, automating government work through AI agents built on its platform.
Microsoft is deepening its AI ties with the UAE, automating government work through AI agents built on its platform.
Microsoft announced a 4,800-person layoff (just over 2% of its workforce) centered on its Xbox division (3,200 jobs...
Microsoft announced a 4,800-person layoff (just over 2% of its workforce) centered on its Xbox division (3,200 jobs cut) and a smaller reduction in its commercial business, per CNBC (source) and the Financial Times (source).
National Grid Ventures (NGV) acquired a 35% stake in Joulent for $1.75 billion to support the development of Project...
National Grid Ventures (NGV) acquired a 35% stake in Joulent for $1.75 billion to support the development of Project Kilby, a 2.67GW natural gas plant in Texas that will power Microsoft's planned 2GW data center under a 20-year PPA.
Microsoft is making a significant AI talent investment, reportedly launching a 6,000-person AI hiring push according to...
Microsoft is making a significant AI talent investment, reportedly launching a 6,000-person AI hiring push according to a Bloomberg video report on July 2, 2026 source.
Microsoft is moving forward with a 72MW data center proposal at Thames Valley Park in Reading, UK, replacing office...
Microsoft is moving forward with a 72MW data center proposal at Thames Valley Park in Reading, UK, replacing office buildings it previously occupied.
According to a DataCenterDynamics article published June 30, 2026, Ionic Digital has secured $400 million in equity...
According to a DataCenterDynamics article published June 30, 2026, Ionic Digital has secured $400 million in equity investment led by Attestor, Oaktree, and others.
A Manifold prediction market shows a 36.36% probability that Microsoft will power its data centers with Small Modular...
A Manifold prediction market shows a 36.36% probability that Microsoft will power its data centers with Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) by 2030.
The New York Times filed a motion to amend its copyright complaint against Microsoft and OpenAI, alleging that...
The New York Times filed a motion to amend its copyright complaint against Microsoft and OpenAI, alleging that Microsoft actively encouraged copyright infringement by building a bespoke supercomputing system for OpenAI.
Three prediction market contracts on Manifold Markets indicate speculative sentiment regarding Microsoft's future AI...
Three prediction market contracts on Manifold Markets indicate speculative sentiment regarding Microsoft's future AI infrastructure moves.
On June 23, 2026, a report indicated that a shuttered incinerator near Chicago (13400 S Kedzie Ave in Robbins) is...
On June 23, 2026, a report indicated that a shuttered incinerator near Chicago (13400 S Kedzie Ave in Robbins) is attracting interest from data center developers, with the site owner noting a model of three buildings could have one owner and one tenant like Microsoft (MSFT).
Microsoft has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Chevron to supply electricity to a new data center in...
Microsoft has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Chevron to supply electricity to a new data center in Texas, as reported by Bloomberg and the Financial Times on June 22, 2026 (Bloomberg, FT).
Microsoft has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Chevron to supply natural-gas-fired electricity for a...
Microsoft has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Chevron to supply natural-gas-fired electricity for a proposed West Texas data center, which could be one of the largest in the US (Bloomberg, WSJ).
Microsoft has broken ground on a new data center campus in La Porte, Indiana, as reported by Data Center Dynamics on...
Microsoft has broken ground on a new data center campus in La Porte, Indiana, as reported by Data Center Dynamics on June 18, 2026 (source).
Microsoft is making significant AI inroads in China by selling OpenAI models, according to a Bloomberg report (source:...
Microsoft is making significant AI inroads in China by selling OpenAI models, according to a Bloomberg report (source: This expansion implies increased inference compute workloads, which require high-end GPUs and networking silicon.
Three prediction market questions on Manifold Markets suggest low-probability but consequential future moves for...
Three prediction market questions on Manifold Markets suggest low-probability but consequential future moves for Microsoft (MSFT) in AI infrastructure and partnership strategy.