signal type · other
product shipment risk
Every published product shipment risk signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh product shipment risk calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
2
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a product shipment risk signal?
A product shipment risk signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged product_shipment_risk by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published product shipment risk signal
2026-06-09 · ETCHED · down · low
A prediction market on Manifold Markets, as of 2026-06-09, indicates only a 2.61% probability that Etched's Sohu AI...
2026-05-24 · ETCHED · down · low
The prediction market on Manifold (source) shows a consensus probability of only 2.61% that Etched's Sohu AI chip will...