markets

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay leading at halftime?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-5.5)': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=36.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5': YES=95.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?': YES=6.70%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5': YES=73.00%

Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees': YES=99.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 France?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kevin McGonigle hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-3.5)': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'France leading at halftime?': YES=62.00%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score': YES=41.00%