markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-03Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=34.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=15.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket