markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-04?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=35.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Colombia (-1.5)': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket