markets

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=10.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=6.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=11.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=20.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=5.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=35.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=96.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=49.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?': YES=49.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?': YES=53.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will a new, full-length Stargate series premiere in 2023?': YES=2.14%

Manifold consensus on 'Will we get new Stargate before 2025?': YES=1.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will President Trump speak negatively about Sam Altman by the end of February 2025?': YES=1.00%