markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-04?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket