markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Morocco (-1.5)': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket