markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be permitted to sell its Blackwell chips (B30A, B300, etc.) directly to China, before May 2026?': YES=4.09%
NVDAmarket:manifoldManifold consensus on 'Will NVDA (Nvidia) close April 2026 above $170?': YES=97.27%
NVDAmarket:manifoldManifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%
NVDAmarket:manifoldPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=25.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket consensus on 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-04-27Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-04-27Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-04-27Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-04-27Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-27Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.80%
market:polymarket