markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-04-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?': YES=72.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=5.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=30.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=14.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=15.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=10.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=44.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-04-30GTA VI released before June 2026?
Polymarket consensus on 'GTA VI released before June 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-04-30Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-04-30Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-04-30Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket