markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?': YES=37.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=11.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=31.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=10.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=24.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=9.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=40.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-01GTA VI released before June 2026?
Polymarket consensus on 'GTA VI released before June 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=48.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Manifold consensus on 'Will a new, full-length Stargate series premiere in 2023?': YES=2.14%
market:manifold