markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=25.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-01GTA VI released before June 2026?
Polymarket consensus on 'GTA VI released before June 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=48.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-01Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket