markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-05-03Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-03Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-03Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-03Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?': YES=44.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=12.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=28.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=12.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=37.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-03GTA VI released before June 2026?
Polymarket consensus on 'GTA VI released before June 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=48.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-03Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket