markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-13Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-13Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-13Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-13Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-13Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-13Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-13Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-13Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-13Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?': YES=31.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=20.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=39.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=30.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=14.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-13GTA VI released before June 2026?
Polymarket consensus on 'GTA VI released before June 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-13Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=49.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-13Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket