markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=24.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket consensus on 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-17Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-17Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-17Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-17Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-17Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.10%
market:polymarket