markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=56.00%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=41.81%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia announce an N1/N1X Windows-on-Arm PC chip at its June 1 Computex keynote?': YES=75.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=56.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=72.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=19.95%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=9.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=24.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%