markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket