markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu
Polymarket top market 'Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=77.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Alberta join the US?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=56.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=52.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kelsey Plum have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.20%
MSFTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=38.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=47.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-6.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket