markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-05Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=52.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kelsey Plum have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?': YES=0.95%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-6.5)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=38.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=47.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=20.00%
NRGmarket:polymarket