markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=31.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-07Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=78.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-07Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket