markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-02Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?': YES=16.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be 30+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance': YES=71.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?': YES=25.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Fils': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5': YES=55.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?': YES=50.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maya Joint be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance': YES=88.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarket