markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spread: United States (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-4.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5': YES=55.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?': YES=74.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brad Ausmus be the next Red Sox manager?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spread: United States (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-2.5)': YES=10.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02United States leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'United States leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket