markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=10.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=33.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=37.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?': YES=86.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=83.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket