markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 4?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Morocco (-1.5)': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket