markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-04?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=35.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket