markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-05Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=55.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Mi New York': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kevin McGonigle hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket