markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Spread: United States (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Corners': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Belgium (-2.5)': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Belgium (-1.5)': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?': YES=96.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket