markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=15.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket