markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5': YES=19.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?': YES=30.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Argentina leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Egypt (-1.5)': YES=7.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Egypt leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Egypt leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?': YES=32.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket