markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket