markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-07Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres': YES=66.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Spread: United States (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-2.5)': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07United States leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'United States leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Belgium leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Belgium leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?': YES=96.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Belgium (-2.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Spread: United States (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?': YES=61.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket