markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Belgium (-1.5)': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=97.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket