markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bastad: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tamara Korpatsch': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=24.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?': YES=97.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=15.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=89.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Trieste: Michele Ribecai vs Matej Dodig
Polymarket top market 'Trieste: Michele Ribecai vs Matej Dodig': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket