markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Games Total: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Games Total: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=27.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket