markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=28.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket