markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=28.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket