markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty
Polymarket top market 'Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=93.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=89.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=29.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=31.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket