markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=17.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket