markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Games Total: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Games Total: O/U 3.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Spread: Norway (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-4.5)': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=90.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Spread: Belgium (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Belgium (-4.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket