markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=13.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=19.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarket