markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-09Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers': YES=97.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=90.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=19.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket