markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=90.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Newport: Sachia Vickery vs Reese Brantmeier': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=21.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=8.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Damir Dzumhur
Polymarket top market 'Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Damir Dzumhur': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-08Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-08France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket