markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 10?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=61.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=74.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 10?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 10?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=57.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=24.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov
Polymarket top market 'Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=34.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=54.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=73.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket